The U.S. v. the rest of the world
How the recent attempts to reinstall sanctions against Iran undermine the Security Council
On October 18, an arms embargo on Iran imposed by the UN Security Council a decade ago will expire. As of that day, Iran will be allowed to deal with weapons despite its recent violations of the ‘Iran Nuclear Deal’ and the risk of fueling an arms race in the Middle East. One month earlier, on September 21, the U.S. announced that it unilaterally imposed sanctions to uphold the embargo. Moreover, the Secretary of State argued that under the so-called ‘snapback mechanism’ in Security Council resolution 2231, all previously suspended UN sanctions are reactivated for all UN members. This post will examine the legality and implications of America’s claim that the UN sanctions on Iran reapply.
General background
After Iran stopped cooperating with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in 2005, the Security Council adopted a number of sanctions under article 41 of the UN Charter (see here, here, here, here, and here). On July 14, 2015, after years of negotiations, the EU3+3 (United Kingdom, France, Germany, Russia, China, U.S.) and Iran came to an agreement on the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA or ‘Iran deal’).
Under the JCPOA, Iran would reduce its nuclear activities in exchange for sanctions relief. The JCPOA was endorsed by the Security Council and annexed to resolution 2231, according to which all abovementioned sanctions would phase out five to eight years after the so-called ‘adoption day’ (October 18, 2015).
Timeline of an escalating conflict
For three years all JCPOA participants complied until President Trump decided to withdraw on May 8, 2018, and reimposed far-reaching sanctions (see here, here, here, and here). Although the remaining states urged Iran to hold up to its commitments, Iran announced that it no longer felt compelled to honor the agreement.
Earlier this year, the Secretary General introduced his ninth report on the implementation of Security Council resolution 2231 in which he stated that Iran has exceeded its limitations on nuclear material, partially stopped cooperating with the IAEA, developed ballistic missiles, and engaged in illicit arms trade. At that point Secretary of State Mike Pompeo called upon the Council to extend the embargo which expires on October 18. The remaining JCPOA participants did not support his suggestion because they feared that Iran could fully abandon the agreement.
On August 17, the U.S. unsuccessfully proposed a draft resolution with the purpose of extending the arms embargo beyond October 18. And on August 20, Pompeo sent a letter to the President of the Security Council notifying that the U.S. intends to trigger the ‘snapback mechanism’ which would reinstate all UN sanctions after 30 days.
Can the U.S. still trigger the ‘snapback mechanism’?
According to paragraph 11 of resolution 2231, a notification by any “JCPOA participant State of a […] significant non-performance of commitments under the JCPOA” starts the ‘snapback mechanism.’ First, the Council has to vote on a resolution whether to reinstate the sanctions suspended under paragraph 7. Additionally, paragraph 12 specifies that if no such resolution can be adopted within 30 days following the notification, all suspended UN sanctions are automatically reactivated. This mechanism was designed to avoid a scenario in which permanent members could block the reimposition of sanctions with their veto under article 27(3) of the Charter.
The U.S. government argues that since its proposed resolution was not adopted as of September 20 (30 days after Secretary Pompeo’s letter), all UN sanctions reapply. In a recent legal brief, the State Department put forward a twofold argument. First, the JCPOA and resolution 2231 are distinct legal instruments and the U.S. can still make claims under the Security Council resolution although it left the JCPOA. Second, the wording of paragraph 10 of the resolution authoritatively defines the U.S. as a “JCPOA participant”:
“Encourages China, France, Germany, the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom, the United States, the European Union (EU), and Iran (the “JCPOA participants”) […]” (emphasis added)
Following the State Department’s logic, since the U.S. is defined as a participant state in paragraph 10 it can still activate the sanctions snapback under paragraphs 11 and 12.
To the contrary, the majority of states in the Security Council argues that the U.S. cannot trigger the snapback mechanism because it withdrew from the JCPOA in 2018. Paragraph 11 clearly states that only a “JCPOA participant State” may start the snapback process. A number of eminent international lawyers have even started a petition in support of this position.
The main legal questions at stake relate to the correct interpretation of the term ‘JCPOA participant state’ and whether the U.S. is still able to trigger the snapback mechanism despite its withdrawal from the JCPOA. Although the State Department’s interpretation might seem convincing at first sight, I would argue that it misconstrues the meaning of ‘JCPOA participant state.’ First, the U.S. relies on a very literal reading of paragraph 10. However, the use of the adjective ‘participant’ in paragraphs 11 and 12 clarifies that only states which actively partake in the JCPOA framework can trigger the snapback mechanism. Moreover, paragraphs 11 and 12 are binding decisions of the Council under article 41 of the Charter, while paragraph 10 is merely an ‘encouragement.’ Interestingly, it encourages the ‘JCPOA participants’ “to resolve any issues […] through the procedures specified in the JCPOA”.
This also points to the fact that the U.S. ignored the procedural requirement to exhaust all means of dispute settlement under the JCPOA (i.e. consultations with the Joint Commission) which bars the U.S. from invoking the snapback mechanism.
Moreover, it is contradictory that the U.S. claims to still be a JCPOA participant although it did not acted as such for over two years. This behavior goes against the civil law principle of venire contra factum proprium non valet – according to which a state is precluded from contradicting its own unilateral statements and actions to construe a legal claim (PCIJ, Factory at Chorzow (Merits), 31; ICJ, Arbitral Award Made by the King of Spain on December 23 1906, 213; ICJ, Temple of Preah Vihear (Merits) (Dissent of Judge Spender), 143).
Additionally, the JCPOA is a reciprocal agreement, under which Iran reduces its nuclear activities for sanctions relief from other states. By withdrawing from the deal and reimposing sanctions the U.S. one-sidedly stopped performing its obligations and thus created the circumstances in which Iran’s violations occurred. For the U.S. to make a legal claim arising from its own wrongful conduct violates the principle of clean hands which is derived from the notion of equity and the Roman law maxim ex iniuria ius non oritur (PCIJ, Diversion of Water from the Meuse (Individual Opinion by Mr. Hudson), 77).
Relying on a reasonable interpretation of resolution 2231, procedural requirements of dispute settlement, and the general principles of legitimate expectations and clean hands, I conclude that the U.S. cannot claim to be a participant state of the JCPOA anymore and is therefore not able to activate the snapback mechanism. To put it bluntly: you can’t have your cake and eat it – not even if you are the United States.
By unilaterally reimposing sanctions, the U.S. violates its obligations under paragraph 7 of resolution 2231 in connection with articles 25, 41, and 48 of the UN Charter. This is a troubling result, because Iran manifestly violates the JCPOA and had an actual participant state made a notification, the Security Council would have been compelled to reinstate its sanctions. In the end, both Iran and the U.S. are breaching resolution 2231.
Potential impact on proceedings before the ICJ
The latest U.S. sanctions came on the same day the ICJ concluded hearings on preliminary objections in the case concerning Alleged Violations of the 1955 Treaty of Amity (Iran v. U.S.A.). In its application from 2018 Iran claims that U.S. sanctions violate the 1955 Treaty while the U.S. argues that its measures are covered by exceptions. So far, the case only concerns sanctions from 2018, but there is a chance that Iran’s counsel may try to use the U.S.’ violation of resolution 2231 as support for its argument that the U.S. is pursuing a vindictive sanctions policy without regard for international law.
Still, in the provisional measures order the Court seemed careful to maneuver around controversial issues such as the legal status of the JCPOA and its relationship to resolution 2231. If the ICJ dismisses America’s preliminary objections, we can expect a narrow judgment focused on the 1955 Treaty. However, it will be interesting to see if the Court will nevertheless address the elephant in the room and make any determinations regarding the JCPOA and resolution 2231.
A security dilemma in the Security Council
Iran and the U.S. are both manifestly violating resolution 2231. While the U.S. is throwing sanctions at everyone, many states fear that Iran could become a dangerous arms dealer and spark an arms race in the Middle East. The Council needs to act now and bring both nations back into compliance with resolution 2231, otherwise an escalation of the tensions in the Middle East is unavoidable. Problematically, we observe a security dilemma in which the actors’ interests make cooperation hard if not impossible without an external intervention: Iran has no interest in complying without U.S. sanctions relief, Russia and China want to reinforce Iran as a regional power, President Trump wants to use a strict Iran policy as leverage for his re-election, and the European states are afraid of Iran abandoning the JCPOA altogether.
Despite their worries, the best solution at the moment would be if the EU participants trigger the snapback mechanism and reimpose the UN sanctions because Iran violates the JCPOA which is a global security risk. They should also urge the next U.S. administration to re-join the JCPOA and return to the pre-2018 situation. Right now, inaction is only worsening the security dilemma. Since the Iran-deal is already in jeopardy, there is little to lose by strictly enforcing it.
This post appears as part of a collaboration between the IFHV and the Völkerrechtsblog.
Jan-Phillip Graf is a research associate and PhD-student at the Institute for International Law of Peace and Armed Conflict (IFHV) at Ruhr-University Bochum.
The author has very well analyzed the meaning of “JCOPA participant” in Iran’s nuclear deal. However, after concluding that the US has no right to trigger the snapback mechanism, in the last section, without providing a compelling argument, he jumped to the conclusion “the best solution at the moment would be if the EU participants trigger the snapback mechanism and reimpose the UN sanctions because Iran violates the JCPOA which is a global security risk.” The only reason that the author provides for his suggestion is that Iran’s nuclear program imposes a threat to EU security. However, he fails to consider the consequences of such an action. Without a doubt, one of the main problems in Iran’s relationship with both the EU and the US is the lack of trust. It took years for Iran and US-EU countries to reach an agreement, which could have been a starting point for further cooperation in resolving the region’s issues if the US had not unilaterally withdrawn from the nuclear deal. It’s surprising that the author, after asking the EU to trigger the snapback mechanism, proposes the EU to urge the next US administration to rejoin the deal. In such a scenario, why should Iran trust the US and the EU again? Iran might be convinced that the presidency of Donald Trump was an aberration in the US foreign policy, but if the EU does not show any signs of being a trustworthy partner in the deal, it will take years to get to an agreement again.
Thanks a lot for your comment Hossein! Since we seem to agree on my legal analysis, I’ll just focus on your valid criticism of my conclusion/recommendation. It’s pretty obvious that both the U.S. and Iran have violated the terms of the JCPOA and UNSC res. 2231 – the U.S. by withdrawing from the agreement and reimposing sanctions, and Iran by increasing it’s enrichment of uranium and exceeding the limits on heavy water storage (see Ninth Report by the Secretary General on the Implementation of UNSC Res. 2231 – cited above). Of course, Iran claims that those activities are for peaceful purposes only and that as soon as the U.S. lifts its santions Iran will cease violating the JCPOA. As a matter of fact, we simply don’t know if that’s true and Iran is only violating the JCPOA to get the U.S. back to the negotiation table.
Apart from that, what really concerned me, was that in addition to its increased nuclear activities, the Secretary General also reported that Iran was restarting the development of missiles which could potentially carry nuclear warheads and that in two cases U.S. agents intercepted illegal arms shipments off the coast of Yemen last year. Keeping all this in mind, I concluded that Iran is manifestly non-performing its obligations under the JCPOA. If an actual participant state would have made a notification, the snapback mechanism would have worked and all UN sanctions would be back in force, including the arms embargo. In my opinion, the U.S. reimposition of sanctions and the claim to reactivate the snapback mechanism is unlawful, but they did it for an understandable reason. They fear that in three days Russia and China are allowed to sell all kinds of weapons to Iran which it can further proliferate to its allies in the region. I don’t see why Iran should get this priviledge while blatantly violating the JCPOA.
Therefore, for the European diplomats it pretty much comes down to two alternatives: First, they believe that what Iran says is true and while hoping that the U.S. presidency changes in January count on a revival of the deal afterwards. However, I think that’s quite a risky bet involving a lot of unknown variables. Second, they could do the obvious and show Iran that they don’t tolerate violations of an agreement by activating the snapback mechanism. This is also a risky strategy, because Iran might formally withdraw from the JCPOA which is an obsessive fear of the EU since 2018. Frankly, the difference between Iran being in the JCPOA or out of it, at the moment, is rather small. This move may as well undermine the trust between Iran and the other participants, if there ever was any, but I don’t see any good reason for Iran to not agree to a re-negotiation or revival of the JCPOA if it actually has no nuclear ambitions. In the end, Iran is dependent on having access to the world economy more than the EU or U.S. are dependent on Iran.
Ultimately, the JCPOA made the snapback mechanism a political decision for the participants and not an automatic response to any violations of the agreement. Therefore, it’s up to the state participants to decide whatever course of action they deem most suitable.